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2024-12-14 05:05:43

The three major stock indexes opened lower and went lower. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index all fell more than 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.88%.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.The three major stock indexes opened lower and went lower. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index all fell more than 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.88%.


Pengyue Automobile Development Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Tucki, was forced to enforce 680,000 yuan. According to the risk information of Tianyan, recently, Guangzhou Pengyue Automobile Development Co., Ltd. and Hunan Chunqiu Engineering Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with an execution target of more than 684,000 yuan, involving construction contract disputes. The enforcement court is Tianhe District People's Court of Guangzhou. Guangzhou Pengyue Automobile Development Co., Ltd. was established in August 2021, with the legal representative of Zhao Dawu and the registered capital of 1.88 billion RMB. Its business scope includes auto parts retail, tire sales, investment activities with its own funds, electric vehicle charging infrastructure operation, industrial design service and motor vehicle charging sales, etc. It is wholly owned by Guangzhou Xpeng Motors Technology Co., Ltd.Lianxiang Co., Ltd. and others set up a new digital technology company. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Zhejiang Lianxi Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with Li Xiaoliang as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: the first type of value-added telecommunications services; The second kind of value-added telecommunications services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Lianxiang and others.The T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China successfully turned and crossed Panxi Railway. According to The Paper, on the afternoon of December 11th, after 82 minutes of continuous construction, the T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China turned 52 degrees clockwise from Panxi Railway Vehicle Turning Station to Yangweishao Station under the jurisdiction of Kunming Bureau of China Railway, realizing a "gorgeous turn" and successfully completed the turn across Panxi Railway.


Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Most gold stocks in Hong Kong stocks fell, and Lingbao Gold fell by nearly 5%. As of press time, Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) fell by 4.75%, Zijin Mining (02899.HK) fell by 2.82% and Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) fell by 2.75%.Industrial Securities: The valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position. The Industrial Securities Research Report pointed out that we should continue to be optimistic about the insurance sector and focus on the targets with better performance stability and stronger dividend insurance sales ability. At present, the valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position, but as a strong beta plate, if the equity market further picks up, it may also perform well. There are three catalytic points for the further opening of the subsequent valuation space: first, the long-term interest rate and the performance of the equity market; Second, the adjustment and optimization process of the asset structure of insurance enterprises; The third is the sales situation of dividend insurance. In particular, dividend insurance sales may exceed expectations, and if verified, it will become an important support for opening up the repair space of insurance valuation. Suggested attention: China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life Insurance, etc.

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